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en:ddefimode2022 [2024/06/28 15:18] – modification externe 127.0.0.1en:ddefimode2022 [2025/09/02 11:12] (Version actuelle) – [Brief description] cpouet
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   * Title in French: Modèles et Décisions   * Title in French: Modèles et Décisions
   * Course code: tba   * Course code: tba
-  * ECTS credits: 8+  * ECTS credits: 4
   * Type: ground course   * Type: ground course
   * Teaching hours: 100h   * Teaching hours: 100h
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   * Language of instruction: English and French   * Language of instruction: English and French
   * Coordinator: tba   * Coordinator: tba
-  * Instructor(s): Mitra Fouladirad, Christophe Pouet, Clément Depoutre (BNP Paribas), Gaël Leboeuf (Aix-Marseille Université) +  * Instructor(s): Mitra Fouladirad, Christophe Pouet, Jiakun Zheng, Dominique Henriet, Clément Depoutre (BNP Paribas), Gaël Leboeuf (Aix-Marseille Université), Sitraka Forler (Post Luxembourg), Lirone Samoun (smartpush
-  * //Last update 04/07/2022 by C. Pouet//+  * //Last update 02/09/2025 by C. Pouet//
  
 ==== Brief description ==== ==== Brief description ====
  
 This course unit is divided into four parts: This course unit is divided into four parts:
-  * ** Risk and decision ** (24 hours) taught by Clément Depoutre+  * ** Risk and decision ** (24 hours) taught by Dominique Henriet, Jiakun Zheng and Clément Depoutre
   * ** Statistics and decisions ** (24 hours) taught by Mitra Fouladirad and Christophe Pouet   * ** Statistics and decisions ** (24 hours) taught by Mitra Fouladirad and Christophe Pouet
   * ** Corporate finance ** (24 hours) taught by Gaël Leboeuf   * ** Corporate finance ** (24 hours) taught by Gaël Leboeuf
-  * ** Data project: business issues understanding** (20 hours) taught by tba+  * ** Data project: business issues understanding** (20 hours) taught by Sitraka Forler and Lirone Samoun
  
 ==== Learning outcomes ==== ==== Learning outcomes ====
  
-  * Understand how to take decision under uncertainty+  * Understand how economic agents take decision under uncertainty
   * Learn how to assess risk and how to compare risky situations   * Learn how to assess risk and how to compare risky situations
   * Learn how to model, estimate and predict time series   * Learn how to model, estimate and predict time series
-  * Understand how capital structure affects the value of the firm+  * Financial statement reading and analysis 
 +  * Capital budgeting 
 +  * Understanding capital structure
  
 ==== Course content ==== ==== Course content ====
 === Risk and decision === === Risk and decision ===
-  - Introduction: diversification and mutualization +  - Part 1 - Risk and Expected Utility 
-  - Risk measure +    - Introduction: diversification and mutualization 
-  - Expected utility +    - Risk measures 
-  Supply and demand: the price of risk +      - Risk magnitude: cumulative distribution and quantile function 
-  - The value of information +      - Risk measures based on the quantile function, the actuarial approach 
-  - Market Counterparty Risk Management+      - Risk measures based on CDF, the expected utility approach 
 +    - Expected utility 
 +      Risk Aversion in the expected utility approach 
 +      - The measure of risk aversion 
 +      - The characteristics of risk aversion 
 +  - Part 2 - Behavioral decision making 
 +    - Decision under risk 
 +      - Introduction to Expected Utility Theory, Risk Aversion and Measurement  
 +      - Behavioral Decision Theories under Risk 
 +    - Decision under uncertainty 
 +      - Eliciting Beliefs in Economics 
 +      - Multiple Priors and Ambiguity 
 +    - Time preferences 
 +      - Discounted Utility Theory: Time versus Risk 
 +      - Hyperbolic Discounting and Its Measurement 
 +  - Part 3 - Introduction to financial risk management  
 +    - Risk management in banks 
 +    - Market risks 
 +    - Counterparty risks
  
 === Statistics and decisions === === Statistics and decisions ===
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 === Corporate finance=== === Corporate finance===
-  The Corporation+Golas: Understand tools and techniques used in Corporate Finance. (from financial 
 +statement analysis and investment decision to financial structure and M&A) 
 +  Firms and Financial Markets
   - Introduction to Financial Statements Analysis   - Introduction to Financial Statements Analysis
-  - Financial Decision Making and the Law of One Price 
   - The Time Value of Money   - The Time Value of Money
   - Investment Decision Rules   - Investment Decision Rules
   - Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting   - Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting
-  - Capital Markets and The Pricing of Risk +  - Estimating the cost of capital 
-  - Optimal Portfolio Choice and the Capital Asset Pricing Model +  - Startup financing 
-  - Estimatong the Cost of Capital +  - Crowdfunding 
-  - Capital Structure in a Perfect Market +  - Initial Public Offering
-  - Mergers and Acquisitiions+
  
 === Data Project:  business issues understanding=== === Data Project:  business issues understanding===
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 ==== Bibliography ==== ==== Bibliography ====
-You can check the availability of the books below at [[https://documentation.centrale-marseille.fr/|Centrale Méditerranée library]].+You can check the availability of the books below at [[https://www.centrale-mediterranee.fr/fr/centredoc|Centrale Méditerranée library]].
   - Risk and decision   - Risk and decision
      * [[http://dhenriet.perso.centrale-marseille.fr/risk/|course ebook]]      * [[http://dhenriet.perso.centrale-marseille.fr/risk/|course ebook]]
      * Gollier, C., Schlesinger, H. and Eeckhoudt, L. (2005). Economic and Financial Decisions Under Risk. Princeton University Press      * Gollier, C., Schlesinger, H. and Eeckhoudt, L. (2005). Economic and Financial Decisions Under Risk. Princeton University Press
 +     * Wakker, P. P. (2010). Prospect Theory: For Risk and Ambiguity. Cambridge university press.
 +     * Carvalho, A. (2016). An overview of applications of proper scoring rules. Decision Analysis, 13(4), 223-242.
   - Statistics and decisions   - Statistics and decisions
      * course handout      * course handout
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   - Corporate finance   - Corporate finance
      * Berk, J. and DeMarzo, P. (2019) Corporate finance. Prentice Hall; 5th edition.       * Berk, J. and DeMarzo, P. (2019) Corporate finance. Prentice Hall; 5th edition. 
-     * [[http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar|Aswath Damodaran at NYU]]: Course and video materials, formulas, spreadsheets, estimated risk premium, Cost of capital by sector and more.  +     * Useful websites 
-     * [[http://www.vernimmen.net/|The Vernimmen handbook homepage]]: Course and video materials, formulas, spreadsheets, corrected exercises and case studies, newsletter, financial data on 7,000 listed companies and more.  +       * [[http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar|Aswath Damodaran at NYU]]: Course and video materials, formulas, spreadsheets, estimated risk premium, Cost of capital by sector and more.  
-     * [[http://www.amf-france.org/Recherche-avancee?formId=BDIF|AMF]]. Annual reports and legal informations on French listed companies. +       * [[http://www.amf-france.org/Recherche-avancee?formId=BDIF|AMF]]. Annual reports and legal informations on French listed companies. 
-     * [[https://fr.finance.yahoo.com/|Yahoo! Finance]]. Financial data on listed companies.+       * [[https://fr.finance.yahoo.com/|Yahoo! Finance]]. Financial data on listed companies.
  
  
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